Table 3: Predictive Value, Low Prevalence

Syndrome Present Syndrome Not Present
Positive test 95 990
Negative test 5 8910
100 9900 10000

Sensitivity 0.95, specificity 0.90, prevalence 0.01. Positive predictive value 95/ 95 + 9900 = 0.087, i.e. the probability that the patient has the syndrome if this sign is present, is still less than nine per cent.